As we prepare to enter the next decade we turn to trends that are already visible to understand where our ultimate direction and focus should lie. In our last message of the decade we offer you a sneak preview of the 20’s by looking at the key trends that will shape and define the local and global asset management industry.
There is growing consensus that sustainable investing will be a mainstream discipline and key trend in the 2020’s. Regulators across the world have already set their expectations for the industry’s players with requirements of greater transparency, investment process integration and reporting. But sustainable investing is about more than ESG.
Years of fiscal consolidation - cutting expenditure and raising revenue mainly through tax increases, have failed to deliver the desired outcome. The risk is that bond market participants decide the government is not in a position to run a surplus and that the upward debt trajectory is heading into runaway territory. If so, they would dump government bonds, signaling the onset of a debt trap. Fortunately, we are not at this point at present and the government has options.
Derivatives are often associated with complexity, risk and leverage but in reality they allow fund managers to put in place insurance that protects investments against downside risk. Used for hedging, they are particularly useful in times of great volatility and uncertainty, like now.
The investment efficient frontiers show that, at some funding ratios, it is impossible to recover from lost opportunities, no matter how much risk is taken. This means that a retiree who started investing too late or did not take enough risk, might never reach their intended outcome. In such cases investors could consider moving towards an income providing vehicle that is guaranteed instead of a living annuity, or a combination of a life annuity and a living annuity.
South Africa’s government finances are cause for grave concern. The only plausible way forward is to tackle the problem now, before it becomes insurmountable and government finds itself in a debt trap.
The Sanlam Group is a full member of the Association for Savings and Investment SA. Collective investment schemes are generally medium- to long-term investments. Please note that past performances are not necessarily an accurate determination of future performances, and that the value of investments / units / unit trusts may go down as well as up. A schedule of fees and charges and maximum commissions is available from the Managers, Sanlam Collective Investments (RF) Pty Ltd & Satrix Managers (RF) (Pty) Ltd, a registered and approved Managers in Collective Investment Schemes in Securities. Additional information of the proposed investment, including brochures, application forms and annual or quarterly reports, can be obtained from the Manager, free of charge. Collective investments are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. Collective investments are calculated on a net asset value basis, which is the total market value of all assets in the portfolio including any income accruals and less any deductible expenses such as audit fees, brokerage and service fees. Actual investment performance of the portfolio and the investor will differ depending on the initial fees applicable, the actual investment date, and the date of reinvestment of income as well as dividend withholding tax. Forward pricing is used. The Manager does not provide any guarantee either with respect to the capital or the return of a portfolio. The performance of the portfolio depends on the underlying assets and variable market factors. Performance is based on NAV to NAV calculations with income reinvestments done on the ex-div date. Lump sum investment performances are quoted. The portfolio may invest in other unit trust portfolios which levy their own fees, and may result is a higher fee structure for our portfolio. All the portfolio options presented are approved collective investment schemes in terms of Collective Investment Schemes Control Act, No 45 of 2002 (“CISCA”). The fund may from time to time invest in foreign instruments which could be accompanied by additional risks as well as potential limitations on the availability of market information. The Manager has the right to close any portfolios to new investors to manage them more efficiently in accordance with their mandates. The portfolio management of all the portfolios is outsourced to financial services providers authorized in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 2002. Standard Bank of South Africa Ltd is the appointed trustee of the Sanlam Collective Investments Scheme & Standard Chartered Bank is the appointed trustee of the Satrix Managers Scheme.